MetLife Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 54.47625

MET -- USA Stock  

USD 39.02  1.61  3.96%

MetLife probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of MetLife performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify MetLife time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MetLife odds to be computed. Please see also MetLife Backtesting, MetLife Valuation, MetLife Correlation, MetLife Hype Analysis, MetLife Volatility, MetLife History as well as MetLife Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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MetLife Target Price Odds to finish over 54.47625

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 54.48  or more in 30 days
 39.02 30 days 54.48  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MetLife to move over $ 54.48  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This MetLife probability density function shows the probability of MetLife Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of MetLife price to stay between its current price of $ 39.02  and $ 54.48  at the end of the 30-day period is close to 99%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, MetLife has beta of 0.9326 indicating MetLife market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, MetLife is expected to follow. Additionally MetLife has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 MetLife Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.15
β
Beta against DOW=0.93
σ
Overall volatility
=1.96
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

MetLife Alerts

MetLife Alerts and Suggestions

MetLife generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
MetLife has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MetLife has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Price Density Drivers

MetLife Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.90%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.62
Short Percent Of Float1.03%
Float Shares836.59M
Shares Short Prior Month13.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.9M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6M
Date Short InterestOctober 31, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.60%
Please see also MetLife Backtesting, MetLife Valuation, MetLife Correlation, MetLife Hype Analysis, MetLife Volatility, MetLife History as well as MetLife Performance. Please also try CEO Directory module to screen ceos from public companies around the world.
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