MINCON GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.51
| MIO Stock | EUR 0.44 0.05 10.20% |
MINCON |
MINCON GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 1.51
The tendency of MINCON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 1.51 or more in 90 days |
| 0.44 | 90 days | 1.51 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MINCON GROUP to move over € 1.51 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MINCON GROUP PLC probability density function shows the probability of MINCON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MINCON GROUP PLC price to stay between its current price of € 0.44 and € 1.51 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MINCON GROUP has a beta of 0.7. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MINCON GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MINCON GROUP PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MINCON GROUP PLC has an alpha of 0.2755, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MINCON GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MINCON GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MINCON GROUP PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MINCON GROUP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MINCON GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MINCON GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MINCON GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MINCON GROUP PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MINCON GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
MINCON GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MINCON GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MINCON GROUP PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MINCON GROUP PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MINCON GROUP PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MINCON GROUP PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MINCON GROUP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MINCON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MINCON GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MINCON GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0198 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.02 | |
| Shares Float | 92.7 M |
MINCON GROUP Technical Analysis
MINCON GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MINCON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MINCON GROUP PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing MINCON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MINCON GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
MINCON GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many MINCON GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MINCON GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MINCON GROUP PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about MINCON GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MINCON GROUP PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MINCON GROUP PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MINCON GROUP PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MINCON GROUP PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out MINCON GROUP Backtesting, MINCON GROUP Valuation, MINCON GROUP Correlation, MINCON GROUP Hype Analysis, MINCON GROUP Volatility, MINCON GROUP History as well as MINCON GROUP Performance. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for MINCON Stock analysis
When running MINCON GROUP's price analysis, check to measure MINCON GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MINCON GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of MINCON GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MINCON GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MINCON GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MINCON GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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