Metropolitan Kentjana (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23500.0
| MKPI Stock | IDR 27,250 300.00 1.11% |
Metropolitan |
Metropolitan Kentjana Target Price Odds to finish over 23500.0
The tendency of Metropolitan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 23,500 in 90 days |
| 27,250 | 90 days | 23,500 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metropolitan Kentjana to stay above 23,500 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Metropolitan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk price to stay between 23,500 and its current price of 27250.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metropolitan Kentjana has a beta of 0.0775. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Metropolitan Kentjana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk has an alpha of 0.0496, implying that it can generate a 0.0496 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Metropolitan Kentjana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metropolitan Kentjana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metropolitan Kentjana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Metropolitan Kentjana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metropolitan Kentjana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metropolitan Kentjana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metropolitan Kentjana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 495.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0008 |
Metropolitan Kentjana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metropolitan Kentjana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metropolitan Kentjana is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Metropolitan Kentjana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 775.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.16, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Metropolitan Kentjana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Metropolitan Kentjana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Metropolitan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Metropolitan Kentjana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 99.0% of Metropolitan Kentjana outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Metropolitan Kentjana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metropolitan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metropolitan Kentjana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metropolitan Kentjana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 948.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 713.5 B |
Metropolitan Kentjana Technical Analysis
Metropolitan Kentjana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metropolitan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metropolitan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metropolitan Kentjana Predictive Forecast Models
Metropolitan Kentjana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metropolitan Kentjana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metropolitan Kentjana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metropolitan Kentjana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metropolitan Kentjana is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Metropolitan Kentjana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 775.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.16, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Metropolitan Kentjana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Metropolitan Kentjana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Metropolitan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Metropolitan Kentjana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 99.0% of Metropolitan Kentjana outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Metropolitan Stock analysis
When running Metropolitan Kentjana's price analysis, check to measure Metropolitan Kentjana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metropolitan Kentjana is operating at the current time. Most of Metropolitan Kentjana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metropolitan Kentjana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metropolitan Kentjana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metropolitan Kentjana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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