Multipolar Technology (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 880.0
| MLPT Stock | IDR 1,530 15.00 0.97% |
Multipolar |
Multipolar Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 880.0
The tendency of Multipolar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 880.00 in 90 days |
| 1,530 | 90 days | 880.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multipolar Technology to stay above 880.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Multipolar Technology Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Multipolar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multipolar Technology Tbk price to stay between 880.00 and its current price of 1530.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multipolar Technology has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Multipolar Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multipolar Technology Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Multipolar Technology Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Multipolar Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Multipolar Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multipolar Technology Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multipolar Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Multipolar Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multipolar Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multipolar Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multipolar Technology Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multipolar Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 86.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Multipolar Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multipolar Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multipolar Technology Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Multipolar Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Multipolar Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multipolar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multipolar Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multipolar Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 783.2 B |
Multipolar Technology Technical Analysis
Multipolar Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multipolar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multipolar Technology Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multipolar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Multipolar Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Multipolar Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multipolar Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multipolar Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Multipolar Technology Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Multipolar Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multipolar Technology Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Multipolar Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Multipolar Technology Backtesting, Multipolar Technology Valuation, Multipolar Technology Correlation, Multipolar Technology Hype Analysis, Multipolar Technology Volatility, Multipolar Technology History as well as Multipolar Technology Performance. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Multipolar Stock analysis
When running Multipolar Technology's price analysis, check to measure Multipolar Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Multipolar Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Multipolar Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Multipolar Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Multipolar Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Multipolar Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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