Mitra Pinasthika (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 960.0
| MPMX Stock | IDR 1,005 5.00 0.50% |
Mitra |
Mitra Pinasthika Target Price Odds to finish below 960.0
The tendency of Mitra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 960.00 or more in 90 days |
| 1,005 | 90 days | 960.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitra Pinasthika to drop to 960.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mitra Pinasthika Mustika probability density function shows the probability of Mitra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitra Pinasthika Mustika price to stay between 960.00 and its current price of 1005.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mitra Pinasthika Mustika has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mitra Pinasthika are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mitra Pinasthika Mustika is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mitra Pinasthika Mustika has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Mitra Pinasthika Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitra Pinasthika
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitra Pinasthika Mustika. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitra Pinasthika's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mitra Pinasthika Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitra Pinasthika is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitra Pinasthika's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitra Pinasthika Mustika, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitra Pinasthika within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Mitra Pinasthika Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitra Pinasthika for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitra Pinasthika Mustika can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitra Pinasthika generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Mitra Pinasthika Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitra Pinasthika's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitra Pinasthika's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 T |
Mitra Pinasthika Technical Analysis
Mitra Pinasthika's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitra Pinasthika Mustika. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitra Pinasthika Predictive Forecast Models
Mitra Pinasthika's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitra Pinasthika's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitra Pinasthika's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitra Pinasthika Mustika
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitra Pinasthika for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitra Pinasthika Mustika help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mitra Pinasthika generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Mitra Pinasthika Backtesting, Mitra Pinasthika Valuation, Mitra Pinasthika Correlation, Mitra Pinasthika Hype Analysis, Mitra Pinasthika Volatility, Mitra Pinasthika History as well as Mitra Pinasthika Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Mitra Stock analysis
When running Mitra Pinasthika's price analysis, check to measure Mitra Pinasthika's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitra Pinasthika is operating at the current time. Most of Mitra Pinasthika's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitra Pinasthika's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitra Pinasthika's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitra Pinasthika to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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