Blackrock Muni Intermediate Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 13.9399
| MUI Fund | USD 11.61 0.03 0.26% |
Blackrock |
Blackrock Muni Target Price Odds to finish below 13.9399
The tendency of Blackrock Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 13.94 after 90 days |
| 11.61 | 90 days | 13.94 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Muni to stay under $ 13.94 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Blackrock Muni Intermediate probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Muni Inter price to stay between its current price of $ 11.61 and $ 13.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Blackrock Muni has a beta of 0.31. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Blackrock Muni average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackrock Muni Intermediate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackrock Muni Intermediate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Blackrock Muni Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blackrock Muni
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Muni Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackrock Muni's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blackrock Muni Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Muni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Muni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Muni Intermediate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Muni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Blackrock Muni Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Muni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Muni Inter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% |
Blackrock Muni Technical Analysis
Blackrock Muni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Muni Intermediate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blackrock Muni Predictive Forecast Models
Blackrock Muni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Muni's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Muni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blackrock Muni Inter
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Muni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Muni Inter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% |
Check out Blackrock Muni Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Muni Correlation, Blackrock Muni Hype Analysis, Blackrock Muni Volatility, Blackrock Muni History as well as Blackrock Muni Performance. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.