Nanophase Technol Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.8261

NANXDelisted Stock  USD 0.60  0.02  3.45%   
Nanophase Technol's future price is the expected price of Nanophase Technol instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nanophase Technol performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
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Nanophase Technol Target Price Odds to finish below 0.8261

The tendency of Nanophase OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.83  after 90 days
 0.60 90 days 0.83 
about 56.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanophase Technol to stay under $ 0.83  after 90 days from now is about 56.0 (This Nanophase Technol probability density function shows the probability of Nanophase OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanophase Technol price to stay between its current price of $ 0.60  and $ 0.83  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nanophase Technol has a beta of -0.015. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nanophase Technol are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nanophase Technol is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nanophase Technol has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Nanophase Technol Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nanophase Technol

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanophase Technol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nanophase Technol's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.600.600.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.580.580.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.580.580.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.510.781.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nanophase Technol. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nanophase Technol's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nanophase Technol's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nanophase Technol.

Nanophase Technol Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanophase Technol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanophase Technol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanophase Technol, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanophase Technol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Nanophase Technol Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanophase Technol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanophase Technol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nanophase Technol is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Nanophase Technol has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nanophase Technol has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nanophase Technol Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanophase OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanophase Technol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanophase Technol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.9 M

Nanophase Technol Technical Analysis

Nanophase Technol's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanophase OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanophase Technol. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanophase OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nanophase Technol Predictive Forecast Models

Nanophase Technol's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanophase Technol's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanophase Technol's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nanophase Technol

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanophase Technol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanophase Technol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nanophase Technol is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Nanophase Technol has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nanophase Technol has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Other Consideration for investing in Nanophase OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Nanophase Technol check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nanophase Technol's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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