National American University Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0187

NAUHDelisted Stock  USD 0.09  0.00  0.00%   
National American's future price is the expected price of National American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of National American University performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
  
Please specify National American's target price for which you would like National American odds to be computed.

National American Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0187

The tendency of National OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 0.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National American to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National American University probability density function shows the probability of National OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National American price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.0911 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.48 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, National American will likely underperform. Additionally National American University has an alpha of 0.1234, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   National American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for National American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.090.090.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.080.080.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.100.100.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.090.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in National American.

National American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National American University, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

National American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National American is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
National American has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
National American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 1.43 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National American has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National American sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
National American University currently holds about 1.33 M in cash with (4.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.

National American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.7 M

National American Technical Analysis

National American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National American University. In general, you should focus on analyzing National OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

National American Predictive Forecast Models

National American's time-series forecasting models is one of many National American's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about National American

Checking the ongoing alerts about National American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National American is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
National American has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
National American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 1.43 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National American has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National American sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
National American University currently holds about 1.33 M in cash with (4.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Other Consideration for investing in National OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in National American check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the National American's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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