National Storage Affiliates Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.56

NSA Stock  USD 38.92  1.80  4.85%   
National Storage's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on National Storage Affiliates. Implied volatility approximates the future value of National Storage based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in National Storage Affiliates over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on National Storage's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 12:50:02 for $0.2 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 28.12. View All National options

Closest to current price National long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

National Storage's future price is the expected price of National Storage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of National Storage Affiliates performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out National Storage Backtesting, National Storage Valuation, National Storage Correlation, National Storage Hype Analysis, National Storage Volatility, National Storage History as well as National Storage Performance.
  
At present, National Storage's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 4.47, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.64. Please specify National Storage's target price for which you would like National Storage odds to be computed.

National Storage Target Price Odds to finish over 29.56

The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 29.56  in 90 days
 38.92 90 days 29.56 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Storage to stay above $ 29.56  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This National Storage Affiliates probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Storage Aff price to stay between $ 29.56  and its current price of $38.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.81 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, National Storage will likely underperform. Additionally National Storage Affiliates has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   National Storage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for National Storage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Storage Aff. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Storage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.3838.9840.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.9136.5142.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.7037.2938.89
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.2434.3338.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Storage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Storage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Storage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in National Storage Aff.

National Storage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Storage Affiliates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.81
σ
Overall volatility
1.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

National Storage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Storage Aff can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Storage Aff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
National Storage Aff has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Raymond James Trust N.A. Purchases New Holdings in National Storage Affiliates Trust - Defense World

National Storage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding146 M
Cash And Short Term Investments65 M

National Storage Technical Analysis

National Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Storage Affiliates. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

National Storage Predictive Forecast Models

National Storage's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Storage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Storage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about National Storage Aff

Checking the ongoing alerts about National Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Storage Aff help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Storage Aff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
National Storage Aff has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Raymond James Trust N.A. Purchases New Holdings in National Storage Affiliates Trust - Defense World
When determining whether National Storage Aff offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Storage's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Storage Affiliates Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Storage Affiliates Stock:

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When running National Storage's price analysis, check to measure National Storage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Storage is operating at the current time. Most of National Storage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Storage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Storage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Storage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Storage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Storage. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Storage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.35
Dividend Share
2.23
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
9.967
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
The market value of National Storage Aff is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Storage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Storage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Storage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Storage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.