Nintendo Co Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 17.34

NTDOY Stock  USD 13.68  0.01  0.07%   
Nintendo's future price is the expected price of Nintendo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nintendo Co ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nintendo Backtesting, Nintendo Valuation, Nintendo Correlation, Nintendo Hype Analysis, Nintendo Volatility, Nintendo History as well as Nintendo Performance.
  
Please specify Nintendo's target price for which you would like Nintendo odds to be computed.

Nintendo Target Price Odds to finish over 17.34

The tendency of Nintendo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17.34  or more in 90 days
 13.68 90 days 17.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nintendo to move over $ 17.34  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nintendo Co ADR probability density function shows the probability of Nintendo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nintendo Co ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 13.68  and $ 17.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nintendo will likely underperform. Additionally Nintendo Co ADR has an alpha of 0.0302, implying that it can generate a 0.0302 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nintendo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nintendo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nintendo Co ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nintendo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8813.6815.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8813.6815.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9613.7615.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.6713.6813.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nintendo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nintendo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nintendo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nintendo Co ADR.

Nintendo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nintendo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nintendo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nintendo Co ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nintendo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Nintendo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nintendo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nintendo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nintendo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.3 M

Nintendo Technical Analysis

Nintendo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nintendo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nintendo Co ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nintendo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nintendo Predictive Forecast Models

Nintendo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nintendo's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nintendo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nintendo in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nintendo's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nintendo options trading.
Check out Nintendo Backtesting, Nintendo Valuation, Nintendo Correlation, Nintendo Hype Analysis, Nintendo Volatility, Nintendo History as well as Nintendo Performance.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Nintendo Pink Sheet analysis

When running Nintendo's price analysis, check to measure Nintendo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nintendo is operating at the current time. Most of Nintendo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nintendo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nintendo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nintendo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Nintendo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nintendo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nintendo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.