Nu Skin Enterprises Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.22
| NUS Stock | USD 13.01 0.31 2.44% |
Closest to current price NUS long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
NUS |
Nu Skin Target Price Odds to finish below 72.22
The tendency of NUS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 72.22 after 90 days |
| 13.01 | 90 days | 72.22 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nu Skin to stay under $ 72.22 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nu Skin Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of NUS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nu Skin Enterprises price to stay between its current price of $ 13.01 and $ 72.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.15 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This indicates Nu Skin Enterprises market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nu Skin is expected to follow. Additionally Nu Skin Enterprises has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Nu Skin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nu Skin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nu Skin Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Skin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nu Skin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nu Skin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nu Skin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nu Skin Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nu Skin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Nu Skin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nu Skin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nu Skin Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nu Skin Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nu Skin Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of March 2024 Nu Skin paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. Shares Sold by New York State Teachers Retirement System - Defense World |
Nu Skin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NUS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nu Skin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nu Skin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267.8 M |
Nu Skin Technical Analysis
Nu Skin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NUS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nu Skin Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing NUS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nu Skin Predictive Forecast Models
Nu Skin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nu Skin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nu Skin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nu Skin Enterprises
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nu Skin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nu Skin Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nu Skin Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nu Skin Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of March 2024 Nu Skin paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. Shares Sold by New York State Teachers Retirement System - Defense World |
Check out Nu Skin Backtesting, Nu Skin Valuation, Nu Skin Correlation, Nu Skin Hype Analysis, Nu Skin Volatility, Nu Skin History as well as Nu Skin Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for NUS Stock analysis
When running Nu Skin's price analysis, check to measure Nu Skin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Skin is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Skin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Skin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Skin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Skin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nu Skin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nu Skin. If investors know NUS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nu Skin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Dividend Share 1.56 | Earnings Share 0.17 | Revenue Per Share 39.612 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Nu Skin Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NUS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nu Skin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nu Skin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nu Skin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nu Skin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nu Skin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nu Skin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nu Skin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.