Realty Income Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 57.15

O -- USA Stock  

USD 58.78  0.07  0.12%

Realty Income probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Realty Income Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Realty Income time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Realty Income odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Realty Income Backtesting, Realty Income Valuation, Realty Income Correlation, Realty Income Hype Analysis, Realty Income Volatility, Realty Income History as well as Realty Income Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Realty Income Target Price Odds to finish below 57.15

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 57.15  or more in 30 days
 58.78 30 days 57.15  ABOUT 65.31%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Realty Income to drop to $ 57.15  or more in 30 days from now is about 65.31% (This Realty Income Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Realty Income Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Realty Income price to stay between $ 57.15  and its current price of $58.78 at the end of the 30-day period is about 30.69%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Realty Income has beta of 0.255 . This implies as returns on market go up, Realty Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Realty Income Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Realty Income Corporation has an alpha of 0.2419 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2419% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Realty Income Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.24
β
Beta against DOW=0.26
σ
Overall volatility
=1.16
Ir
Information ratio =0.25

Realty Income Alerts

Realty Income Alerts and Suggestions
Realty Income has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On July 31, 2018 Realty Income paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kathleen Allen of 4000 shares of Realty Income subject to Rule 16b-3
Additionally take a look at Realty Income Backtesting, Realty Income Valuation, Realty Income Correlation, Realty Income Hype Analysis, Realty Income Volatility, Realty Income History as well as Realty Income Performance. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.