Proshares K 1 Free Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 18.02

OILK Etf  USD 47.37  0.18  0.38%   
ProShares' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ProShares K 1 Free. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ProShares based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ProShares K 1 Free over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $46.0 is a CALL option contract on ProShares' common stock with a strick price of 46.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $3.1. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 17.3. View All ProShares options

Closest to current price ProShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

ProShares' future price is the expected price of ProShares instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ProShares K 1 Free performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ProShares Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Correlation, ProShares Hype Analysis, ProShares Volatility, ProShares History as well as ProShares Performance.
  
Please specify ProShares' target price for which you would like ProShares odds to be computed.

ProShares Target Price Odds to finish below 18.02

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.02  or more in 90 days
 47.37 90 days 18.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares to drop to $ 18.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ProShares K 1 Free probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ProShares K-1 Free price to stay between $ 18.02  and its current price of $47.37 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares K 1 Free has a beta of -0.0626. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ProShares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, ProShares K 1 Free is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ProShares K 1 Free has an alpha of 0.1396, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ProShares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares K-1 Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.8647.1048.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.7242.9652.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.0847.3248.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.1247.3447.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ProShares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ProShares K-1 Free.

ProShares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares K 1 Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

ProShares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares K-1 Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund created five year return of -2.0%
ProShares K-1 Free maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

ProShares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProShares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

ProShares Technical Analysis

ProShares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares K 1 Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ProShares Predictive Forecast Models

ProShares' time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ProShares K-1 Free

Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares K-1 Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund created five year return of -2.0%
ProShares K-1 Free maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
When determining whether ProShares K-1 Free is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ProShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Proshares K 1 Free Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Proshares K 1 Free Etf:
Check out ProShares Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Correlation, ProShares Hype Analysis, ProShares Volatility, ProShares History as well as ProShares Performance.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for ProShares Etf analysis

When running ProShares' price analysis, check to measure ProShares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ProShares is operating at the current time. Most of ProShares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ProShares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ProShares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ProShares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
The market value of ProShares K-1 Free is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.