Olympique Lyonnais (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.94

OLG Stock  EUR 2.13  0.00  0.00%   
Olympique Lyonnais' future price is the expected price of Olympique Lyonnais instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Olympique Lyonnais Groupe performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Olympique Lyonnais' target price for which you would like Olympique Lyonnais odds to be computed.

Olympique Lyonnais Target Price Odds to finish below 2.94

The tendency of Olympique Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 2.94  after 90 days
 2.13 90 days 2.94 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Olympique Lyonnais to stay under € 2.94  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Olympique Lyonnais Groupe probability density function shows the probability of Olympique Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Olympique Lyonnais Groupe price to stay between its current price of € 2.13  and € 2.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Olympique Lyonnais has a beta of 0.31. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Olympique Lyonnais average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Olympique Lyonnais Groupe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Olympique Lyonnais Groupe has an alpha of 0.0887, implying that it can generate a 0.0887 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Olympique Lyonnais Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Olympique Lyonnais

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Olympique Lyonnais Groupe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Olympique Lyonnais' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.472.133.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.462.123.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Olympique Lyonnais. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Olympique Lyonnais' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Olympique Lyonnais' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Olympique Lyonnais Groupe.

Olympique Lyonnais Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Olympique Lyonnais is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Olympique Lyonnais' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Olympique Lyonnais Groupe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Olympique Lyonnais within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Olympique Lyonnais Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Olympique Lyonnais for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Olympique Lyonnais Groupe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Olympique Lyonnais is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Olympique Lyonnais has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 350.57 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 98.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Olympique Lyonnais Groupe has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Olympique Lyonnais until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Olympique Lyonnais' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Olympique Lyonnais Groupe sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Olympique to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Olympique Lyonnais' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 160.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.88 M.
Olympique Lyonnais Groupe has accumulated about 27.53 M in cash with (53.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.

Olympique Lyonnais Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Olympique Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Olympique Lyonnais' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Olympique Lyonnais' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.5 M

Olympique Lyonnais Technical Analysis

Olympique Lyonnais' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Olympique Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Olympique Lyonnais Groupe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Olympique Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Olympique Lyonnais Predictive Forecast Models

Olympique Lyonnais' time-series forecasting models is one of many Olympique Lyonnais' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Olympique Lyonnais' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Olympique Lyonnais Groupe

Checking the ongoing alerts about Olympique Lyonnais for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Olympique Lyonnais Groupe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Olympique Lyonnais is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Olympique Lyonnais has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 350.57 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 98.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Olympique Lyonnais Groupe has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Olympique Lyonnais until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Olympique Lyonnais' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Olympique Lyonnais Groupe sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Olympique to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Olympique Lyonnais' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 160.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.88 M.
Olympique Lyonnais Groupe has accumulated about 27.53 M in cash with (53.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Note that the Olympique Lyonnais Groupe information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Olympique Lyonnais' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Olympique Lyonnais' price analysis, check to measure Olympique Lyonnais' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Olympique Lyonnais is operating at the current time. Most of Olympique Lyonnais' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Olympique Lyonnais' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Olympique Lyonnais' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Olympique Lyonnais to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Olympique Lyonnais' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Olympique Lyonnais is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Olympique Lyonnais' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.