Jpmorgan Investor Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 21.28
| ONGAX Fund | USD 23.34 0.12 0.51% |
Jpmorgan |
Jpmorgan Investor Target Price Odds to finish below 21.28
The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 21.28 or more in 90 days |
| 23.34 | 90 days | 21.28 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Investor to drop to $ 21.28 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jpmorgan Investor Growth probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Investor Growth price to stay between $ 21.28 and its current price of $23.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Investor has a beta of 0.92. This indicates Jpmorgan Investor Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jpmorgan Investor is expected to follow. Additionally Jpmorgan Investor Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Jpmorgan Investor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Investor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Investor Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Investor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jpmorgan Investor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Investor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Investor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Investor Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Investor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0052 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Jpmorgan Investor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Investor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Investor Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 5.37% of its assets in cash |
Jpmorgan Investor Technical Analysis
Jpmorgan Investor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Investor Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jpmorgan Investor Predictive Forecast Models
Jpmorgan Investor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Investor's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Investor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jpmorgan Investor Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Investor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Investor Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 5.37% of its assets in cash |
Check out Jpmorgan Investor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Investor Correlation, Jpmorgan Investor Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Investor Volatility, Jpmorgan Investor History as well as Jpmorgan Investor Performance. Note that the Jpmorgan Investor Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Investor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.