Palo Alto Networks Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 176.54
| PANW Stock | USD 281.14 3.81 1.37% |
Closest to current price Palo long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Palo |
Palo Alto Target Price Odds to finish over 176.54
The tendency of Palo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 176.54 in 90 days |
| 281.14 | 90 days | 176.54 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Palo Alto to stay above $ 176.54 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Palo Alto Networks probability density function shows the probability of Palo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Palo Alto Networks price to stay between $ 176.54 and its current price of $281.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Palo Alto has a beta of 0.52 indicating as returns on the market go up, Palo Alto average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Palo Alto Networks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Palo Alto Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Palo Alto Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Palo Alto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palo Alto Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palo Alto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Palo Alto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Palo Alto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Palo Alto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Palo Alto Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Palo Alto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 35.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Palo Alto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Palo Alto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Palo Alto Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Palo Alto Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Palo Alto Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company currently holds 2.27 B in liabilities. Palo Alto Networks has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Palo Alto until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Palo Alto's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Palo Alto Networks sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Palo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Palo Alto's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Palo Alto Networks has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Lost Money on Palo Alto Networks Inc. Join Class Action Suit Seeking Recovery - Contact Levi Korsinsky |
Palo Alto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Palo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Palo Alto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palo Alto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 342.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Palo Alto Technical Analysis
Palo Alto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Palo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Palo Alto Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Palo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Palo Alto Predictive Forecast Models
Palo Alto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Palo Alto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Palo Alto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Palo Alto Networks
Checking the ongoing alerts about Palo Alto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Palo Alto Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Palo Alto Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Palo Alto Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company currently holds 2.27 B in liabilities. Palo Alto Networks has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Palo Alto until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Palo Alto's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Palo Alto Networks sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Palo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Palo Alto's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Palo Alto Networks has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Lost Money on Palo Alto Networks Inc. Join Class Action Suit Seeking Recovery - Contact Levi Korsinsky |
Check out Palo Alto Backtesting, Palo Alto Valuation, Palo Alto Correlation, Palo Alto Hype Analysis, Palo Alto Volatility, Palo Alto History as well as Palo Alto Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Palo Stock analysis
When running Palo Alto's price analysis, check to measure Palo Alto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palo Alto is operating at the current time. Most of Palo Alto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palo Alto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palo Alto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palo Alto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Palo Alto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Palo Alto. If investors know Palo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Palo Alto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 18.56 | Earnings Share 6.46 | Revenue Per Share 24.27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.193 | Return On Assets 0.0309 |
The market value of Palo Alto Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Palo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Palo Alto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Palo Alto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Palo Alto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Palo Alto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Palo Alto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Palo Alto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Palo Alto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.