Pepsico Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 104.76
| PEP Stock | USD 176.92 5.70 3.33% |
Closest to current price PepsiCo long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
PepsiCo |
PepsiCo Target Price Odds to finish over 104.76
The tendency of PepsiCo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 104.76 in 90 days |
| 176.92 | 90 days | 104.76 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PepsiCo to stay above $ 104.76 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PepsiCo probability density function shows the probability of PepsiCo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PepsiCo price to stay between $ 104.76 and its current price of $176.92 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PepsiCo has a beta of 0.38 indicating as returns on the market go up, PepsiCo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PepsiCo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PepsiCo has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PepsiCo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PepsiCo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PepsiCo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PepsiCo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PepsiCo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PepsiCo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PepsiCo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PepsiCo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PepsiCo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
PepsiCo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PepsiCo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PepsiCo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 44.66 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.05, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. PepsiCo has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist PepsiCo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PepsiCo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PepsiCo sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PepsiCo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PepsiCo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 77.0% of PepsiCo shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of April 2024 PepsiCo paid $ 1.265 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Asia Stocks to Track US Rebound on Profit Optimism Markets Wrap |
PepsiCo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PepsiCo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PepsiCo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PepsiCo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10 B |
PepsiCo Technical Analysis
PepsiCo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PepsiCo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PepsiCo. In general, you should focus on analyzing PepsiCo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PepsiCo Predictive Forecast Models
PepsiCo's time-series forecasting models is one of many PepsiCo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PepsiCo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PepsiCo
Checking the ongoing alerts about PepsiCo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PepsiCo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 44.66 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.05, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. PepsiCo has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist PepsiCo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PepsiCo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PepsiCo sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PepsiCo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PepsiCo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 77.0% of PepsiCo shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of April 2024 PepsiCo paid $ 1.265 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Asia Stocks to Track US Rebound on Profit Optimism Markets Wrap |
Check out PepsiCo Backtesting, PepsiCo Valuation, PepsiCo Correlation, PepsiCo Hype Analysis, PepsiCo Volatility, PepsiCo History as well as PepsiCo Performance. To learn how to invest in PepsiCo Stock, please use our How to Invest in PepsiCo guide.Note that the PepsiCo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PepsiCo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for PepsiCo Stock analysis
When running PepsiCo's price analysis, check to measure PepsiCo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PepsiCo is operating at the current time. Most of PepsiCo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PepsiCo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PepsiCo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PepsiCo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PepsiCo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PepsiCo. If investors know PepsiCo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PepsiCo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.057 | Dividend Share 5.06 | Earnings Share 6.64 | Revenue Per Share 66.806 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of PepsiCo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PepsiCo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PepsiCo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PepsiCo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PepsiCo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PepsiCo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PepsiCo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PepsiCo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PepsiCo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.