Invesco Dividend Achievers Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 26.29

PFM Etf  USD 42.49  0.51  1.21%   
Invesco Dividend's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Invesco Dividend Achievers. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Invesco Dividend based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Invesco Dividend Achievers over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $37.0 is a CALL option contract on Invesco Dividend's common stock with a strick price of 37.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2023-12-05 at 12:17:56 for $2.81 and, as of today, has 85 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $5.8. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 9.04. View All Invesco options

Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Invesco Dividend's future price is the expected price of Invesco Dividend instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Dividend Achievers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Dividend Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Dividend Correlation, Invesco Dividend Hype Analysis, Invesco Dividend Volatility, Invesco Dividend History as well as Invesco Dividend Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Dividend's target price for which you would like Invesco Dividend odds to be computed.

Invesco Dividend Target Price Odds to finish below 26.29

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 26.29  or more in 90 days
 42.49 90 days 26.29 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Dividend to drop to $ 26.29  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Dividend Achievers probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Dividend Ach price to stay between $ 26.29  and its current price of $42.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Dividend has a beta of 0.85 indicating Invesco Dividend Achievers market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco Dividend is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco Dividend Achievers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Invesco Dividend Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Dividend Ach. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Dividend's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0042.5243.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.5842.1042.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.8442.3742.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.8442.3242.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Dividend Ach.

Invesco Dividend Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Dividend Achievers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0003
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Invesco Dividend Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Dividend Ach can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Invesco Dividend Achievers ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.1801
The fund maintains 99.94% of its assets in stocks

Invesco Dividend Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Invesco Dividend Technical Analysis

Invesco Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Dividend Achievers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Dividend Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Dividend's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Dividend Ach

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Dividend Ach help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Invesco Dividend Achievers ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.1801
The fund maintains 99.94% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether Invesco Dividend Ach is a strong investment it is important to analyze Invesco Dividend's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Invesco Dividend's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Invesco Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Invesco Dividend Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Dividend Correlation, Invesco Dividend Hype Analysis, Invesco Dividend Volatility, Invesco Dividend History as well as Invesco Dividend Performance.
Note that the Invesco Dividend Ach information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Dividend's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Complementary Tools for Invesco Etf analysis

When running Invesco Dividend's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Dividend's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Dividend is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Dividend's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Dividend's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Dividend's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Dividend to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Invesco Dividend Ach is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Dividend's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Dividend's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Dividend's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Dividend's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Dividend's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Dividend is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Dividend's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.