Perdana Karya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 160.0
| PKPK Stock | IDR 322.00 6.00 1.83% |
Perdana |
Perdana Karya Target Price Odds to finish over 160.0
The tendency of Perdana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 160.00 in 90 days |
| 322.00 | 90 days | 160.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perdana Karya to stay above 160.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Perdana Karya Perkasa probability density function shows the probability of Perdana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perdana Karya Perkasa price to stay between 160.00 and its current price of 322.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Perdana Karya has a beta of 0.34 indicating as returns on the market go up, Perdana Karya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Perdana Karya Perkasa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Perdana Karya Perkasa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Perdana Karya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Perdana Karya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perdana Karya Perkasa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perdana Karya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Perdana Karya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perdana Karya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perdana Karya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perdana Karya Perkasa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perdana Karya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Perdana Karya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perdana Karya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perdana Karya Perkasa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Perdana Karya is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Perdana Karya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (877.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.13 M. | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Perdana Karya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perdana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perdana Karya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perdana Karya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 600 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
Perdana Karya Technical Analysis
Perdana Karya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perdana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perdana Karya Perkasa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perdana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perdana Karya Predictive Forecast Models
Perdana Karya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perdana Karya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perdana Karya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Perdana Karya Perkasa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Perdana Karya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perdana Karya Perkasa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Perdana Karya is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Perdana Karya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (877.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.13 M. | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Perdana Stock analysis
When running Perdana Karya's price analysis, check to measure Perdana Karya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perdana Karya is operating at the current time. Most of Perdana Karya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perdana Karya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perdana Karya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perdana Karya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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