Passat Socit (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.1

PSAT Stock  EUR 5.35  0.15  2.88%   
Passat Socit's future price is the expected price of Passat Socit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Passat Socit Anonyme performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Passat Socit Backtesting, Passat Socit Valuation, Passat Socit Correlation, Passat Socit Hype Analysis, Passat Socit Volatility, Passat Socit History as well as Passat Socit Performance.
  
Please specify Passat Socit's target price for which you would like Passat Socit odds to be computed.

Passat Socit Target Price Odds to finish below 4.1

The tendency of Passat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 4.10  or more in 90 days
 5.35 90 days 4.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Passat Socit to drop to € 4.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Passat Socit Anonyme probability density function shows the probability of Passat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Passat Socit Anonyme price to stay between € 4.10  and its current price of €5.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Passat Socit has a beta of 0.43 indicating as returns on the market go up, Passat Socit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Passat Socit Anonyme will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Passat Socit Anonyme has an alpha of 0.1254, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Passat Socit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Passat Socit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Passat Socit Anonyme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Passat Socit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.385.207.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.335.156.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.575.397.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.205.205.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Passat Socit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Passat Socit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Passat Socit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Passat Socit Anonyme.

Passat Socit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Passat Socit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Passat Socit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Passat Socit Anonyme, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Passat Socit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Passat Socit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Passat Socit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Passat Socit Anonyme can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Passat Socit Anonyme has accumulated about 20.41 M in cash with (1.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.16.
Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Passat Socit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Passat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Passat Socit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Passat Socit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments15.2 M

Passat Socit Technical Analysis

Passat Socit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Passat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Passat Socit Anonyme. In general, you should focus on analyzing Passat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Passat Socit Predictive Forecast Models

Passat Socit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Passat Socit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Passat Socit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Passat Socit Anonyme

Checking the ongoing alerts about Passat Socit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Passat Socit Anonyme help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Passat Socit Anonyme has accumulated about 20.41 M in cash with (1.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.16.
Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Passat Socit Backtesting, Passat Socit Valuation, Passat Socit Correlation, Passat Socit Hype Analysis, Passat Socit Volatility, Passat Socit History as well as Passat Socit Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

Complementary Tools for Passat Stock analysis

When running Passat Socit's price analysis, check to measure Passat Socit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Passat Socit is operating at the current time. Most of Passat Socit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Passat Socit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Passat Socit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Passat Socit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Passat Socit's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Passat Socit is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Passat Socit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.