Ptc Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 92.97

PTC Stock  USD 177.85  2.21  1.23%   
PTC's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on PTC Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of PTC based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in PTC Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $180.0 is a CALL option contract on PTC's common stock with a strick price of 180.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-12 at 11:22:18 for $3.4 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.35, and an ask price of $2.95. The implied volatility as of the 16th of April 2024 is 27.6. View All PTC options

Closest to current price PTC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

PTC's future price is the expected price of PTC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PTC Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PTC Backtesting, PTC Valuation, PTC Correlation, PTC Hype Analysis, PTC Volatility, PTC History as well as PTC Performance.
  
At present, PTC's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 37.81, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 6.01. Please specify PTC's target price for which you would like PTC odds to be computed.

PTC Target Price Odds to finish below 92.97

The tendency of PTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 92.97  or more in 90 days
 177.85 90 days 92.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PTC to drop to $ 92.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PTC Inc probability density function shows the probability of PTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PTC Inc price to stay between $ 92.97  and its current price of $177.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.45 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 indicating PTC Inc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, PTC is expected to follow. Additionally PTC Inc has an alpha of 0.0305, implying that it can generate a 0.0305 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PTC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PTC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PTC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PTC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
176.63177.91179.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
171.92173.20195.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
176.78178.06179.33
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
151.61166.60184.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PTC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PTC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PTC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PTC Inc.

PTC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PTC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PTC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PTC Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PTC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.11
σ
Overall volatility
5.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

PTC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PTC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PTC Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PTC Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: PTC to Announce Fiscal Q224 Results on Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 - Marketscreener.com

PTC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PTC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PTC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments288.1 M

PTC Technical Analysis

PTC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PTC Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing PTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PTC Predictive Forecast Models

PTC's time-series forecasting models is one of many PTC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PTC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PTC Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about PTC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PTC Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PTC Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: PTC to Announce Fiscal Q224 Results on Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 - Marketscreener.com
When determining whether PTC Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PTC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ptc Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ptc Inc Stock:
Check out PTC Backtesting, PTC Valuation, PTC Correlation, PTC Hype Analysis, PTC Volatility, PTC History as well as PTC Performance.
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Complementary Tools for PTC Stock analysis

When running PTC's price analysis, check to measure PTC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PTC is operating at the current time. Most of PTC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PTC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PTC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PTC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PTC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PTC. If investors know PTC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PTC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Earnings Share
1.98
Revenue Per Share
18.382
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.181
Return On Assets
0.0551
The market value of PTC Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PTC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PTC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PTC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PTC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PTC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PTC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PTC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PTC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.