RANGE RESOURCES (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.79
| RAX Stock | EUR 33.60 1.10 3.38% |
RANGE |
RANGE RESOURCES Target Price Odds to finish below 13.79
The tendency of RANGE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 13.79 or more in 90 days |
| 33.60 | 90 days | 13.79 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RANGE RESOURCES to drop to € 13.79 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This RANGE RESOURCES probability density function shows the probability of RANGE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RANGE RESOURCES price to stay between € 13.79 and its current price of €33.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RANGE RESOURCES has a beta of -0.11 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RANGE RESOURCES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RANGE RESOURCES is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RANGE RESOURCES has an alpha of 0.3107, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RANGE RESOURCES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RANGE RESOURCES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RANGE RESOURCES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RANGE RESOURCES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RANGE RESOURCES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RANGE RESOURCES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RANGE RESOURCES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RANGE RESOURCES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RANGE RESOURCES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
RANGE RESOURCES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RANGE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RANGE RESOURCES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RANGE RESOURCES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 249.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 218 M |
RANGE RESOURCES Technical Analysis
RANGE RESOURCES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RANGE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RANGE RESOURCES. In general, you should focus on analyzing RANGE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RANGE RESOURCES Predictive Forecast Models
RANGE RESOURCES's time-series forecasting models is one of many RANGE RESOURCES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RANGE RESOURCES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards RANGE RESOURCES in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, RANGE RESOURCES's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from RANGE RESOURCES options trading.
Check out RANGE RESOURCES Backtesting, RANGE RESOURCES Valuation, RANGE RESOURCES Correlation, RANGE RESOURCES Hype Analysis, RANGE RESOURCES Volatility, RANGE RESOURCES History as well as RANGE RESOURCES Performance. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for RANGE Stock analysis
When running RANGE RESOURCES's price analysis, check to measure RANGE RESOURCES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RANGE RESOURCES is operating at the current time. Most of RANGE RESOURCES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RANGE RESOURCES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RANGE RESOURCES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RANGE RESOURCES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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