Rockwell Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.75

RMTI Stock  USD 1.66  0.02  1.22%   
Rockwell Medical's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Rockwell Medical. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Rockwell Medical based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Rockwell Medical over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $1.0 is a CALL option contract on Rockwell Medical's common stock with a strick price of 1.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.35, and an ask price of $1.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 173.05. View All Rockwell options

Closest to current price Rockwell long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Rockwell Medical's future price is the expected price of Rockwell Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rockwell Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rockwell Medical Backtesting, Rockwell Medical Valuation, Rockwell Medical Correlation, Rockwell Medical Hype Analysis, Rockwell Medical Volatility, Rockwell Medical History as well as Rockwell Medical Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Rockwell Stock please use our How to Invest in Rockwell Medical guide.
  
The Rockwell Medical's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to increase to (4.96). Please specify Rockwell Medical's target price for which you would like Rockwell Medical odds to be computed.

Rockwell Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 4.75

The tendency of Rockwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.75  or more in 90 days
 1.66 90 days 4.75 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rockwell Medical to move over $ 4.75  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Rockwell Medical probability density function shows the probability of Rockwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rockwell Medical price to stay between its current price of $ 1.66  and $ 4.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rockwell Medical will likely underperform. Additionally Rockwell Medical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Rockwell Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rockwell Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockwell Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rockwell Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.666.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.197.95
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.05-0.04-0.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rockwell Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rockwell Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rockwell Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rockwell Medical.

Rockwell Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rockwell Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rockwell Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rockwell Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rockwell Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Rockwell Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rockwell Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rockwell Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rockwell Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rockwell Medical may become a speculative penny stock
Rockwell Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rockwell Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 M.
Rockwell Medical currently holds about 27.56 M in cash with (9.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.37, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Rockwell Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Animal and Pet Food Market Analysis 2018-2023 and Forecast 2024-2033 Featuring Profiles of Cargill, Nestle, New Hope Liuhe Co, Charoen Pokphand Foods, and Bunge

Rockwell Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rockwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rockwell Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rockwell Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.9 M

Rockwell Medical Technical Analysis

Rockwell Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rockwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rockwell Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rockwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rockwell Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Rockwell Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rockwell Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rockwell Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rockwell Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rockwell Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rockwell Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rockwell Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rockwell Medical may become a speculative penny stock
Rockwell Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rockwell Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 M.
Rockwell Medical currently holds about 27.56 M in cash with (9.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.37, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Rockwell Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Animal and Pet Food Market Analysis 2018-2023 and Forecast 2024-2033 Featuring Profiles of Cargill, Nestle, New Hope Liuhe Co, Charoen Pokphand Foods, and Bunge
When determining whether Rockwell Medical offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rockwell Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rockwell Medical Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rockwell Medical Stock:
Check out Rockwell Medical Backtesting, Rockwell Medical Valuation, Rockwell Medical Correlation, Rockwell Medical Hype Analysis, Rockwell Medical Volatility, Rockwell Medical History as well as Rockwell Medical Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Rockwell Stock please use our How to Invest in Rockwell Medical guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Rockwell Medical's price analysis, check to measure Rockwell Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rockwell Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Rockwell Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rockwell Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rockwell Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rockwell Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Rockwell Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rockwell Medical. If investors know Rockwell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rockwell Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.37)
Revenue Per Share
3.585
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.48)
The market value of Rockwell Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rockwell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rockwell Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rockwell Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rockwell Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rockwell Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rockwell Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rockwell Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rockwell Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.