Sanmina Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.15

SANM Stock  USD 58.74  0.95  1.64%   
Sanmina's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Sanmina. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Sanmina based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Sanmina over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $60.0 is a CALL option contract on Sanmina's common stock with a strick price of 60.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-19 at 13:23:09 for $2.5 and, as of today, has 25 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.15, and an ask price of $2.45. The implied volatility as of the 22nd of April is 50.07. View All Sanmina options

Closest to current price Sanmina long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Sanmina's future price is the expected price of Sanmina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sanmina performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sanmina Backtesting, Sanmina Valuation, Sanmina Correlation, Sanmina Hype Analysis, Sanmina Volatility, Sanmina History as well as Sanmina Performance.
To learn how to invest in Sanmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.
  
At this time, Sanmina's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of April 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.33, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 1.48. Please specify Sanmina's target price for which you would like Sanmina odds to be computed.

Sanmina Target Price Odds to finish over 31.15

The tendency of Sanmina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 31.15  in 90 days
 58.74 90 days 31.15 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sanmina to stay above $ 31.15  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sanmina probability density function shows the probability of Sanmina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sanmina price to stay between $ 31.15  and its current price of $58.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sanmina will likely underperform. Additionally Sanmina has an alpha of 0.1343, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sanmina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sanmina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanmina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sanmina's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.6958.8062.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.8767.7171.82
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.0777.0085.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.061.201.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sanmina. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sanmina's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sanmina's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sanmina.

Sanmina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sanmina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sanmina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sanmina, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sanmina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.20
σ
Overall volatility
4.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Sanmina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sanmina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sanmina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sanmina had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sanmina is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investors.com: Sanmina Trying To Close In On Key Technical Measure

Sanmina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sanmina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sanmina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sanmina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments667.6 M

Sanmina Technical Analysis

Sanmina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sanmina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sanmina. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sanmina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sanmina Predictive Forecast Models

Sanmina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sanmina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sanmina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sanmina

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sanmina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sanmina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sanmina had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sanmina is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investors.com: Sanmina Trying To Close In On Key Technical Measure
When determining whether Sanmina is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sanmina's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sanmina's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sanmina Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sanmina Backtesting, Sanmina Valuation, Sanmina Correlation, Sanmina Hype Analysis, Sanmina Volatility, Sanmina History as well as Sanmina Performance.
To learn how to invest in Sanmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Sanmina Stock analysis

When running Sanmina's price analysis, check to measure Sanmina's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sanmina is operating at the current time. Most of Sanmina's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sanmina's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sanmina's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sanmina to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sanmina's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sanmina. If investors know Sanmina will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sanmina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.36)
Earnings Share
4.62
Revenue Per Share
146.9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Return On Assets
0.0534
The market value of Sanmina is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sanmina that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sanmina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sanmina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sanmina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sanmina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sanmina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sanmina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sanmina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.