Us Global Sea Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 12.11

SEA Etf  USD 15.08  0.24  1.62%   
US Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on US Global Sea. Implied volatility approximates the future value of US Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in US Global Sea over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $15.0 is a CALL option contract on US Global's common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-13 at 15:38:14 for $0.65 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 12.43. View All SEA options

Closest to current price SEA long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

US Global's future price is the expected price of US Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of US Global Sea performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out US Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, US Global Correlation, US Global Hype Analysis, US Global Volatility, US Global History as well as US Global Performance.
  
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US Global Target Price Odds to finish over 12.11

The tendency of SEA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.11  in 90 days
 15.08 90 days 12.11 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Global to stay above $ 12.11  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This US Global Sea probability density function shows the probability of SEA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Global Sea price to stay between $ 12.11  and its current price of $15.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.7 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon US Global has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, US Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding US Global Sea will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally US Global Sea has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   US Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for US Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Global Sea. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of US Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1515.0816.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2215.1516.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9214.8515.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7414.9415.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as US Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against US Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, US Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US Global Sea.

US Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Global Sea, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

US Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Global Sea can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

US Global Technical Analysis

US Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEA Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Global Sea. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEA Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

US Global Predictive Forecast Models

US Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many US Global's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about US Global Sea

Checking the ongoing alerts about US Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US Global Sea help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether US Global Sea offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of US Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Us Global Sea Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Us Global Sea Etf:
Check out US Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, US Global Correlation, US Global Hype Analysis, US Global Volatility, US Global History as well as US Global Performance.
Note that the US Global Sea information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other US Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for SEA Etf analysis

When running US Global's price analysis, check to measure US Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Global is operating at the current time. Most of US Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of US Global Sea is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SEA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.