S-E BANKEN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.78
| SEBA Stock | EUR 12.67 0.07 0.56% |
S-E |
S-E BANKEN Target Price Odds to finish below 10.78
The tendency of S-E Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 10.78 or more in 90 days |
| 12.67 | 90 days | 10.78 | about 47.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of S-E BANKEN to drop to € 10.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 47.41 (This S E BANKEN A probability density function shows the probability of S-E Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of S E BANKEN price to stay between € 10.78 and its current price of €12.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon S E BANKEN A has a beta of -0.52. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding S-E BANKEN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, S E BANKEN A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally S E BANKEN A has an alpha of 0.4347, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). S-E BANKEN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for S-E BANKEN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as S E BANKEN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of S-E BANKEN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
S-E BANKEN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. S-E BANKEN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the S-E BANKEN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold S E BANKEN A , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of S-E BANKEN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
S-E BANKEN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of S-E BANKEN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for S E BANKEN can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| S E BANKEN appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| S-E BANKEN generates negative cash flow from operations |
S-E BANKEN Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of S-E Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential S-E BANKEN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. S-E BANKEN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0812 |
S-E BANKEN Technical Analysis
S-E BANKEN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. S-E Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of S E BANKEN A . In general, you should focus on analyzing S-E Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
S-E BANKEN Predictive Forecast Models
S-E BANKEN's time-series forecasting models is one of many S-E BANKEN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary S-E BANKEN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about S E BANKEN
Checking the ongoing alerts about S-E BANKEN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for S E BANKEN help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| S E BANKEN appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| S-E BANKEN generates negative cash flow from operations |
Check out S-E BANKEN Backtesting, S-E BANKEN Valuation, S-E BANKEN Correlation, S-E BANKEN Hype Analysis, S-E BANKEN Volatility, S-E BANKEN History as well as S-E BANKEN Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for S-E Stock analysis
When running S-E BANKEN's price analysis, check to measure S-E BANKEN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy S-E BANKEN is operating at the current time. Most of S-E BANKEN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of S-E BANKEN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move S-E BANKEN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of S-E BANKEN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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