Large Capitalization Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 22.09
| SLGCX Fund | USD 9.45 0.17 1.83% |
Large |
Large Capitalization Target Price Odds to finish below 22.09
The tendency of Large Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.09 after 90 days |
| 9.45 | 90 days | 22.09 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Large Capitalization to stay under $ 22.09 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Large Capitalization Growth probability density function shows the probability of Large Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Large Capitalization price to stay between its current price of $ 9.45 and $ 22.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This usually implies Large Capitalization Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Large Capitalization is expected to follow. Additionally Large Capitalization Growth has an alpha of 3.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 3.5E-4 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Large Capitalization Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Large Capitalization
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Large Capitalization. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Large Capitalization's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Large Capitalization Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Large Capitalization is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Large Capitalization's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Large Capitalization Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Large Capitalization within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.0003 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Large Capitalization Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Large Capitalization for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Large Capitalization can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Large Capitalization Technical Analysis
Large Capitalization's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Large Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Large Capitalization Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Large Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Large Capitalization Predictive Forecast Models
Large Capitalization's time-series forecasting models is one of many Large Capitalization's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Large Capitalization's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Large Capitalization
Checking the ongoing alerts about Large Capitalization for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Large Capitalization help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out Large Capitalization Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Large Capitalization Correlation, Large Capitalization Hype Analysis, Large Capitalization Volatility, Large Capitalization History as well as Large Capitalization Performance. Note that the Large Capitalization information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Large Capitalization's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.