Gusbourne Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.8

SLLFF Stock  USD 0.81  0.00  0.00%   
Gusbourne PLC's future price is the expected price of Gusbourne PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gusbourne PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gusbourne PLC Backtesting, Gusbourne PLC Valuation, Gusbourne PLC Correlation, Gusbourne PLC Hype Analysis, Gusbourne PLC Volatility, Gusbourne PLC History as well as Gusbourne PLC Performance.
  
Please specify Gusbourne PLC's target price for which you would like Gusbourne PLC odds to be computed.

Gusbourne PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 0.8

The tendency of Gusbourne Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.80  in 90 days
 0.81 90 days 0.80 
about 88.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gusbourne PLC to stay above $ 0.80  in 90 days from now is about 88.25 (This Gusbourne PLC probability density function shows the probability of Gusbourne Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gusbourne PLC price to stay between $ 0.80  and its current price of $0.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gusbourne PLC has a beta of 0.0021. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Gusbourne PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gusbourne PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gusbourne PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Gusbourne PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gusbourne PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gusbourne PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gusbourne PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.811.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.701.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.811.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.810.810.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gusbourne PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gusbourne PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gusbourne PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gusbourne PLC.

Gusbourne PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gusbourne PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gusbourne PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gusbourne PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gusbourne PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Gusbourne PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gusbourne PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gusbourne PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gusbourne PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gusbourne PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 4.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 M.
Gusbourne PLC has accumulated about 1.77 M in cash with (3.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Gusbourne PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gusbourne Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gusbourne PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gusbourne PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.7 M

Gusbourne PLC Technical Analysis

Gusbourne PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gusbourne Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gusbourne PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gusbourne Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gusbourne PLC Predictive Forecast Models

Gusbourne PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gusbourne PLC's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gusbourne PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gusbourne PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gusbourne PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gusbourne PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gusbourne PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gusbourne PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 4.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 M.
Gusbourne PLC has accumulated about 1.77 M in cash with (3.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Gusbourne PLC Backtesting, Gusbourne PLC Valuation, Gusbourne PLC Correlation, Gusbourne PLC Hype Analysis, Gusbourne PLC Volatility, Gusbourne PLC History as well as Gusbourne PLC Performance.
Note that the Gusbourne PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gusbourne PLC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Gusbourne Pink Sheet analysis

When running Gusbourne PLC's price analysis, check to measure Gusbourne PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gusbourne PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Gusbourne PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gusbourne PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gusbourne PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gusbourne PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gusbourne PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gusbourne PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gusbourne PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.