Vaneck Short Muni Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 17.18
| SMB Etf | USD 16.96 0.01 0.06% |
VanEck |
VanEck Short Target Price Odds to finish below 17.18
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 17.18 after 90 days |
| 16.96 | 90 days | 17.18 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Short to stay under $ 17.18 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This VanEck Short Muni probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Short Muni price to stay between its current price of $ 16.96 and $ 17.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon VanEck Short has a beta of 0.0774. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, VanEck Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Short Muni will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Short Muni has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. VanEck Short Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Short Muni. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Short Muni, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.68 |
VanEck Short Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Short Muni can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Rising Demand for Encryption Technology Fuels Investments in Leading Solution Providers | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| VanEck Short Muni maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
VanEck Short Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VanEck Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VanEck Short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VanEck Short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
VanEck Short Technical Analysis
VanEck Short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Short Muni. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck Short Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck Short's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Short's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck Short Muni
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Short Muni help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Rising Demand for Encryption Technology Fuels Investments in Leading Solution Providers | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| VanEck Short Muni maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Check out VanEck Short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Short Correlation, VanEck Short Hype Analysis, VanEck Short Volatility, VanEck Short History as well as VanEck Short Performance. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
The market value of VanEck Short Muni is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Short's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Short's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Short's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Short's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.