Pt Sarana Menara Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.22
| SMNUF Stock | USD 0.03 0.0003 1.00% |
SMNUF |
PT Sarana Target Price Odds to finish below 0.22
The tendency of SMNUF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.22 after 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.22 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Sarana to stay under $ 0.22 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PT Sarana Menara probability density function shows the probability of SMNUF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Sarana Menara price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03 and $ 0.22 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Sarana Menara has a beta of -1.13. This usually implies Additionally PT Sarana Menara has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PT Sarana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Sarana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Sarana Menara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Sarana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PT Sarana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Sarana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Sarana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Sarana Menara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Sarana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
PT Sarana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Sarana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Sarana Menara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Sarana Menara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Sarana Menara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| PT Sarana Menara has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company has accumulated 28 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. PT Sarana Menara has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Sarana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Sarana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Sarana Menara sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SMNUF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Sarana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of PT Sarana outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PT Sarana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SMNUF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Sarana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Sarana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.8 B |
PT Sarana Technical Analysis
PT Sarana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SMNUF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Sarana Menara. In general, you should focus on analyzing SMNUF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Sarana Predictive Forecast Models
PT Sarana's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Sarana's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Sarana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Sarana Menara
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Sarana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Sarana Menara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Sarana Menara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Sarana Menara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| PT Sarana Menara has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company has accumulated 28 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. PT Sarana Menara has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Sarana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Sarana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Sarana Menara sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SMNUF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Sarana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of PT Sarana outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out PT Sarana Backtesting, PT Sarana Valuation, PT Sarana Correlation, PT Sarana Hype Analysis, PT Sarana Volatility, PT Sarana History as well as PT Sarana Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for SMNUF Pink Sheet analysis
When running PT Sarana's price analysis, check to measure PT Sarana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Sarana is operating at the current time. Most of PT Sarana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Sarana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Sarana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Sarana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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