Supercom Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.77

SPCB Stock  USD 0.17  0.01  5.56%   
Supercom's future price is the expected price of Supercom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Supercom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Supercom Backtesting, Supercom Valuation, Supercom Correlation, Supercom Hype Analysis, Supercom Volatility, Supercom History as well as Supercom Performance.
For information on how to trade Supercom Stock refer to our How to Trade Supercom Stock guide.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.02, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (0.75). Please specify Supercom's target price for which you would like Supercom odds to be computed.

Supercom Target Price Odds to finish over 1.77

The tendency of Supercom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1.77  or more in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 1.77 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Supercom to move over $ 1.77  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Supercom probability density function shows the probability of Supercom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Supercom price to stay between its current price of $ 0.17  and $ 1.77  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually implies Supercom market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Supercom is expected to follow. Additionally Supercom has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Supercom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Supercom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Supercom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Supercom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.176.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.166.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.196.08
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Supercom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Supercom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Supercom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Supercom.

Supercom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Supercom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Supercom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Supercom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Supercom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Supercom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Supercom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Supercom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Supercom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Supercom has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Supercom has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Supercom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.39 M.
Supercom currently holds about 2.91 M in cash with (4.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SuperCom Wins New Project in California Valued at Up to 2.0 million

Supercom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Supercom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Supercom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supercom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Supercom Technical Analysis

Supercom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Supercom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Supercom. In general, you should focus on analyzing Supercom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Supercom Predictive Forecast Models

Supercom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Supercom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Supercom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Supercom

Checking the ongoing alerts about Supercom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Supercom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Supercom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Supercom has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Supercom has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Supercom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.39 M.
Supercom currently holds about 2.91 M in cash with (4.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SuperCom Wins New Project in California Valued at Up to 2.0 million
When determining whether Supercom offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Supercom's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Supercom Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Supercom Stock:
Check out Supercom Backtesting, Supercom Valuation, Supercom Correlation, Supercom Hype Analysis, Supercom Volatility, Supercom History as well as Supercom Performance.
For information on how to trade Supercom Stock refer to our How to Trade Supercom Stock guide.
Note that the Supercom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Supercom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Supercom Stock analysis

When running Supercom's price analysis, check to measure Supercom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supercom is operating at the current time. Most of Supercom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supercom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supercom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supercom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Is Supercom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Supercom. If investors know Supercom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Supercom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.104
Earnings Share
(0.99)
Revenue Per Share
4.242
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Supercom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Supercom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Supercom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Supercom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Supercom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Supercom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Supercom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Supercom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Supercom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.