SpartanNash (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.34

SRJ Stock  EUR 18.40  0.20  1.10%   
SpartanNash's future price is the expected price of SpartanNash instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SpartanNash performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SpartanNash Backtesting, SpartanNash Valuation, SpartanNash Correlation, SpartanNash Hype Analysis, SpartanNash Volatility, SpartanNash History as well as SpartanNash Performance.
  
Please specify SpartanNash's target price for which you would like SpartanNash odds to be computed.

SpartanNash Target Price Odds to finish over 17.34

The tendency of SpartanNash Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 17.34  in 90 days
 18.40 90 days 17.34 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SpartanNash to stay above € 17.34  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This SpartanNash probability density function shows the probability of SpartanNash Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SpartanNash price to stay between € 17.34  and its current price of €18.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SpartanNash has a beta of -0.55. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding SpartanNash are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, SpartanNash is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SpartanNash has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   SpartanNash Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SpartanNash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SpartanNash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SpartanNash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4618.4020.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9915.9320.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SpartanNash. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SpartanNash's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SpartanNash's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SpartanNash.

SpartanNash Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SpartanNash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SpartanNash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SpartanNash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SpartanNash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

SpartanNash Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SpartanNash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SpartanNash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SpartanNash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SpartanNash has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

SpartanNash Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SpartanNash Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SpartanNash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SpartanNash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.1 M

SpartanNash Technical Analysis

SpartanNash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SpartanNash Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SpartanNash. In general, you should focus on analyzing SpartanNash Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SpartanNash Predictive Forecast Models

SpartanNash's time-series forecasting models is one of many SpartanNash's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SpartanNash's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SpartanNash

Checking the ongoing alerts about SpartanNash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SpartanNash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SpartanNash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SpartanNash has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out SpartanNash Backtesting, SpartanNash Valuation, SpartanNash Correlation, SpartanNash Hype Analysis, SpartanNash Volatility, SpartanNash History as well as SpartanNash Performance.
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Complementary Tools for SpartanNash Stock analysis

When running SpartanNash's price analysis, check to measure SpartanNash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SpartanNash is operating at the current time. Most of SpartanNash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SpartanNash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SpartanNash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SpartanNash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between SpartanNash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SpartanNash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SpartanNash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.