Stratasys Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 102.42

SSYS Stock  USD 9.67  0.42  4.16%   
Stratasys' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Stratasys. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Stratasys based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Stratasys over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Stratasys' common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-15 at 13:23:18 for $0.24 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 16th of April 2024 is 107.15. View All Stratasys options

Closest to current price Stratasys long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Stratasys' future price is the expected price of Stratasys instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stratasys performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stratasys Backtesting, Stratasys Valuation, Stratasys Correlation, Stratasys Hype Analysis, Stratasys Volatility, Stratasys History as well as Stratasys Performance.
For more information on how to buy Stratasys Stock please use our How to Invest in Stratasys guide.
  
Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 1.48 in 2024. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to -7.57 in 2024. Please specify Stratasys' target price for which you would like Stratasys odds to be computed.

Stratasys Target Price Odds to finish below 102.42

The tendency of Stratasys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 102.42  after 90 days
 9.67 90 days 102.42 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stratasys to stay under $ 102.42  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Stratasys probability density function shows the probability of Stratasys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stratasys price to stay between its current price of $ 9.67  and $ 102.42  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.43 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stratasys will likely underperform. Additionally Stratasys has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Stratasys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stratasys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stratasys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stratasys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.879.8012.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3512.2815.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.569.4912.42
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.2919.0021.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stratasys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stratasys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stratasys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stratasys.

Stratasys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stratasys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stratasys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stratasys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stratasys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.63
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Stratasys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stratasys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stratasys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stratasys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 627.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (123.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 280.24 M.
Stratasys currently holds about 438.32 M in cash with (61.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.57.
Stratasys has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: 3D Printing Services Procurement Market Soars to 19 Billion in 2022, Expected 20-25 percent CAGR by 2026 ELINT Market Research

Stratasys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stratasys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stratasys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stratasys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments162.6 M

Stratasys Technical Analysis

Stratasys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stratasys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stratasys. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stratasys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stratasys Predictive Forecast Models

Stratasys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Stratasys' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stratasys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stratasys

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stratasys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stratasys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stratasys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 627.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (123.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 280.24 M.
Stratasys currently holds about 438.32 M in cash with (61.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.57.
Stratasys has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: 3D Printing Services Procurement Market Soars to 19 Billion in 2022, Expected 20-25 percent CAGR by 2026 ELINT Market Research
When determining whether Stratasys is a strong investment it is important to analyze Stratasys' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Stratasys' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Stratasys Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Stratasys Backtesting, Stratasys Valuation, Stratasys Correlation, Stratasys Hype Analysis, Stratasys Volatility, Stratasys History as well as Stratasys Performance.
For more information on how to buy Stratasys Stock please use our How to Invest in Stratasys guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for Stratasys Stock analysis

When running Stratasys' price analysis, check to measure Stratasys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stratasys is operating at the current time. Most of Stratasys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stratasys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stratasys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stratasys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Stratasys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stratasys. If investors know Stratasys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stratasys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.79)
Revenue Per Share
9.14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.13)
The market value of Stratasys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stratasys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stratasys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stratasys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stratasys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stratasys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stratasys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stratasys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stratasys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.