Sensata Technologies Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.26

ST Stock  USD 36.74  0.31  0.85%   
Sensata Technologies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Sensata Technologies Holding. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Sensata Technologies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Sensata Technologies Holding over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $35.0 is a CALL option contract on Sensata Technologies' common stock with a strick price of 35.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-21 at 14:45:34 for $1.9 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.05, and an ask price of $2.2. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 27.76. View All Sensata options

Closest to current price Sensata long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Sensata Technologies' future price is the expected price of Sensata Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sensata Technologies Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sensata Technologies Backtesting, Sensata Technologies Valuation, Sensata Technologies Correlation, Sensata Technologies Hype Analysis, Sensata Technologies Volatility, Sensata Technologies History as well as Sensata Technologies Performance.
  
At this time, Sensata Technologies' Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 15.15 in 2024, whereas Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 19.95 in 2024. Please specify Sensata Technologies' target price for which you would like Sensata Technologies odds to be computed.

Sensata Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 51.26

The tendency of Sensata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 51.26  after 90 days
 36.74 90 days 51.26 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sensata Technologies to stay under $ 51.26  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sensata Technologies Holding probability density function shows the probability of Sensata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sensata Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 36.74  and $ 51.26  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.92 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sensata Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Sensata Technologies Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Sensata Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sensata Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensata Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensata Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.7936.7438.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.8135.7637.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.0535.0036.95
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sensata Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sensata Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sensata Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sensata Technologies.

Sensata Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sensata Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sensata Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sensata Technologies Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sensata Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.60
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Sensata Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sensata Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sensata Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sensata Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.05 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (3.91 M) with gross profit of 1.33 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of February 2024 Sensata Technologies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: THE ST. JAMES AND TPH ACADEMY PARTNER TO LAUNCH PREMIER ACADEMIC AND SPORTS PERFORMANCE ACADEMY SERVING THE GREATER WASHINGTON REGION

Sensata Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sensata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sensata Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensata Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments508.1 M

Sensata Technologies Technical Analysis

Sensata Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sensata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sensata Technologies Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sensata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sensata Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Sensata Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sensata Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sensata Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sensata Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sensata Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sensata Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sensata Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.05 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (3.91 M) with gross profit of 1.33 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of February 2024 Sensata Technologies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: THE ST. JAMES AND TPH ACADEMY PARTNER TO LAUNCH PREMIER ACADEMIC AND SPORTS PERFORMANCE ACADEMY SERVING THE GREATER WASHINGTON REGION
When determining whether Sensata Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Sensata Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Sensata Technologies Holding Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Sensata Technologies Holding Stock:

Complementary Tools for Sensata Stock analysis

When running Sensata Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Sensata Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensata Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Sensata Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensata Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensata Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensata Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sensata Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sensata Technologies. If investors know Sensata will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sensata Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Dividend Share
0.47
Earnings Share
(0.03)
Revenue Per Share
26.656
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Sensata Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sensata that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sensata Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sensata Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sensata Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sensata Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sensata Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sensata Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sensata Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.