Stem Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.865
| STEM Stock | USD 1.59 0.16 9.14% |
Closest to current price Stem long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Stem |
Stem Target Price Odds to finish over 0.865
The tendency of Stem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.87 in 90 days |
| 1.59 | 90 days | 0.87 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stem to stay above $ 0.87 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Stem Inc probability density function shows the probability of Stem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stem Inc price to stay between $ 0.87 and its current price of $1.59 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.61 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stem will likely underperform. Additionally Stem Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Stem Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stem
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stem Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stem Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stem Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 5.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Stem Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stem Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Stem Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Stem Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 461.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (140.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.66 M. | |
| Stem Inc currently holds about 334.89 M in cash with (207.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Stem Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Disposition of 14390 shares by Alan Russo of Stem at 3.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Stem Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 155.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.6 M |
Stem Technical Analysis
Stem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stem Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stem Predictive Forecast Models
Stem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stem Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stem Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Stem Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Stem Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 461.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (140.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.66 M. | |
| Stem Inc currently holds about 334.89 M in cash with (207.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Stem Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Disposition of 14390 shares by Alan Russo of Stem at 3.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Stem Backtesting, Stem Valuation, Stem Correlation, Stem Hype Analysis, Stem Volatility, Stem History as well as Stem Performance. Note that the Stem Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stem's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Stem Stock analysis
When running Stem's price analysis, check to measure Stem's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stem is operating at the current time. Most of Stem's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stem's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stem's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stem to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Stem's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stem. If investors know Stem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stem listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.90) | Revenue Per Share 2.966 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.077 | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.29) |
The market value of Stem Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.