ATT Probability of Target Price

ATT Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 36.03  0.14  0.39%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Refresh Odds

Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 36.03 30 days 35.56  close to 100% near 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to drop to $ 35.56  or more in 30 days from now is near 1%. Probability of ATT Inc price to stay between $ 35.56  and its current price of $36.03 at the end of the 30-day period is about 1.58%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 2.3787 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, ATT will likely underperform. Additionally ATT Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
< 1%
Odds to drop to $ 35.56  or more in 30 days
 ATT Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=(0.42) 
βBeta against DOW= 2.38 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.13 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.15)