ATT Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 35.56

T -- USA Stock  

USD 32.67  0.07  0.20%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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ATT Target Price Odds to finish below 35.56

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 35.56  after 30 days
 32.67 30 days 35.56  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to stay under $ 35.56  after 30 days from now is close to 99% (This ATT probability density function shows the probability of ATT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of ATT price to stay between its current price of $ 32.67  and $ 35.56  at the end of the 30-day period is about 82.97%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, ATT has beta of 0.7192 . This entails as returns on market go up, ATT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding ATT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATT has an alpha of 0.0415 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0415% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 ATT Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.04154
β
Beta against DOW=0.72
σ
Overall volatility
=0.67
Ir
Information ratio =0.09

ATT Alerts

ATT Alerts and Suggestions

ATT generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
ATT has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
The company has accumulated 191.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 104.1 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. ATT has Current Ratio of 0.79 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
About 56.0% of ATT shares are owned by institutional investors
On October 9, 2018 ATT paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: ATT exotic insider transaction detected

Price Density Drivers

ATT Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.87%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.99
Short Percent Of Float1.03%
Float Shares7.26B
Shares Short Prior Month69.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day38.63M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month33.38M
Date Short InterestSeptember 28, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.12%
Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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