ATT Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 42.26

T -- USA Stock  

USD 30.22  0.36  1.21%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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ATT Target Price Odds to finish over 42.26

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 42.26  or more in 30 days
 30.22 30 days 42.26  CLOSE TO ZERO PERCENT
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to move over $ 42.26  or more in 30 days from now is close to zero percent (This ATT probability density function shows the probability of ATT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of ATT price to stay between its current price of $ 30.22  and $ 42.26  at the end of the 30-day period is about 68.59%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, ATT has beta of 0.7491 . This entails as returns on market go up, ATT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding ATT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATT has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 ATT Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.05
β
Beta against DOW=0.75
σ
Overall volatility
=0.98
Ir
Information ratio =0.0025

ATT Alerts

ATT Alerts and Suggestions

ATT generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
ATT has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
The company has accumulated 185.12B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 100.0 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. ATT has Current Ratio of 0.79 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
About 56.0% of ATT shares are owned by institutional investors

Price Density Drivers

ATT Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out0.88%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.00
Short Percent Of Float1.05%
Float Shares7.27B
Shares Short Prior Month63.76M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day38.69M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month38.43M
Date Short InterestNovember 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.63%
Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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