ATT Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 42.61

ATT Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 37.00  0.04  0.11%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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ATT Target Price Odds to finish below 42.61

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 37.00 30 days 42.61  close to zero percent close to 100%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to stay under $ 42.61  after 30 days from now is close to 100%. Probability of ATT Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 37.00  and $ 42.61  at the end of the 30-day period is about 33.1%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, ATT Inc has beta of -0.224 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ATT are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, ATT Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATT Inc has an alpha of 0.05190584181818182 implying that it can potentially generate 0.05190584181818182% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
> 99%
Odds to stay under $ 42.61  after 30 days
 ATT Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.22
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.14