ATT Probability of Target Price

ATT Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 35.5  0.19  0.53%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 35.5 30 days 42.61  near 1% close to 100%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to move over $ 42.61  or more in 30 days from now is near 1%. Probability of ATT Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 35.5  and $ 42.61  at the end of the 30-day period is roughly 96.0%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, ATT Inc has beta of -2.1005 . This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ATT Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ATT is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally ATT Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
< 1%
Odds to move over $ 42.61  or more in 30 days
 ATT Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=(0.0733) 
βBeta against DOW=(2.1) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.4 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.29)