ATT Probability of Target Price

ATT Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 35.71  0.17  0.48%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 35.71 30 days 45.7  near 1% close to 100%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to move over $ 45.7  or more in 30 days from now is near 1%. Probability of ATT Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 35.71  and $ 45.7  at the end of the 30-day period is about 92.88%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, ATT Inc has beta of -0.4826 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ATT are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, ATT Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATT Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
< 1%
Odds to move over $ 45.7  or more in 30 days
 ATT Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=(0.26) 
βBeta against DOW=(0.48) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.49 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.3)