ATT Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 45.7

ATT Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 38.46  0.22  0.58%

ATT probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ATT Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ATT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATT odds to be computed. Also please take a look at ATT Backtesting, ATT Valuation, ATT Correlation, ATT Hype Analysis, ATT Volatility, ATT History as well as ATT Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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ATT Target Price Odds to finish over 45.7

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 38.46 30 days 45.7  near 1% close to 100%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ATT to move over $ 45.7  or more in 30 days from now is near 1%. Probability of ATT Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 38.46  and $ 45.7  at the end of the 30-day period is about 5.24%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0572 . This entails ATT Inc market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, ATT is expected to follow. Additionally ATT Inc has an alpha of 0.23429502663636376 implying that it can potentially generate 0.23429502663636376% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
< 1%
Odds to move over $ 45.7  or more in 30 days
 ATT Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.23
βBeta against DOW=1.06
σ
Overall volatility
=1.36
 IrInformation ratio =0.19