Toronto Dominion Bank Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 23.48

TD-PFB Preferred Stock  CAD 24.17  0.04  0.17%   
Toronto Dominion's future price is the expected price of Toronto Dominion instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Toronto Dominion Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Toronto Dominion Backtesting, Toronto Dominion Valuation, Toronto Dominion Correlation, Toronto Dominion Hype Analysis, Toronto Dominion Volatility, Toronto Dominion History as well as Toronto Dominion Performance.
  
Please specify Toronto Dominion's target price for which you would like Toronto Dominion odds to be computed.

Toronto Dominion Target Price Odds to finish below 23.48

The tendency of Toronto Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 23.48  or more in 90 days
 24.17 90 days 23.48 
about 75.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toronto Dominion to drop to C$ 23.48  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.36 (This Toronto Dominion Bank probability density function shows the probability of Toronto Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Toronto Dominion Bank price to stay between C$ 23.48  and its current price of C$24.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Toronto Dominion has a beta of 0.0882. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Toronto Dominion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Toronto Dominion Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Toronto Dominion Bank has an alpha of 0.1853, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Toronto Dominion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toronto Dominion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toronto Dominion Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toronto Dominion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5024.1724.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.7423.4126.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.7324.4025.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9324.0924.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Toronto Dominion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Toronto Dominion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Toronto Dominion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Toronto Dominion Bank.

Toronto Dominion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toronto Dominion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toronto Dominion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toronto Dominion Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toronto Dominion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Toronto Dominion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toronto Dominion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toronto Dominion Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toronto Dominion generates negative cash flow from operations

Toronto Dominion Technical Analysis

Toronto Dominion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toronto Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toronto Dominion Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toronto Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Toronto Dominion Predictive Forecast Models

Toronto Dominion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toronto Dominion's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toronto Dominion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Toronto Dominion Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toronto Dominion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toronto Dominion Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toronto Dominion generates negative cash flow from operations
Check out Toronto Dominion Backtesting, Toronto Dominion Valuation, Toronto Dominion Correlation, Toronto Dominion Hype Analysis, Toronto Dominion Volatility, Toronto Dominion History as well as Toronto Dominion Performance.
Note that the Toronto Dominion Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Toronto Dominion's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Toronto Preferred Stock analysis

When running Toronto Dominion's price analysis, check to measure Toronto Dominion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toronto Dominion is operating at the current time. Most of Toronto Dominion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toronto Dominion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toronto Dominion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toronto Dominion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toronto Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toronto Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toronto Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.