Telecom Italia Spa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.04
| TIAOF Stock | USD 0.23 0.01 4.55% |
Telecom |
Telecom Italia Target Price Odds to finish below 1.04
The tendency of Telecom Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.04 after 90 days |
| 0.23 | 90 days | 1.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telecom Italia to stay under $ 1.04 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Telecom Italia SpA probability density function shows the probability of Telecom Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telecom Italia SpA price to stay between its current price of $ 0.23 and $ 1.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Telecom Italia will likely underperform. Additionally Telecom Italia SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Telecom Italia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telecom Italia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telecom Italia SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telecom Italia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Telecom Italia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telecom Italia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telecom Italia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telecom Italia SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telecom Italia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Telecom Italia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telecom Italia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telecom Italia SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telecom Italia SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telecom Italia SpA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Telecom Italia SpA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 21.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Telecom Italia SpA has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Telecom Italia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Telecom Italia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Telecom Italia SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Telecom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Telecom Italia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.65 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.54 B. | |
| About 35.0% of Telecom Italia outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Telecom Italia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telecom Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telecom Italia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telecom Italia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 B |
Telecom Italia Technical Analysis
Telecom Italia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telecom Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telecom Italia SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telecom Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telecom Italia Predictive Forecast Models
Telecom Italia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telecom Italia's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telecom Italia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telecom Italia SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telecom Italia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telecom Italia SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telecom Italia SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telecom Italia SpA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Telecom Italia SpA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 21.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Telecom Italia SpA has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Telecom Italia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Telecom Italia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Telecom Italia SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Telecom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Telecom Italia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.65 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.54 B. | |
| About 35.0% of Telecom Italia outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Telecom Italia Backtesting, Telecom Italia Valuation, Telecom Italia Correlation, Telecom Italia Hype Analysis, Telecom Italia Volatility, Telecom Italia History as well as Telecom Italia Performance. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Telecom Pink Sheet analysis
When running Telecom Italia's price analysis, check to measure Telecom Italia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telecom Italia is operating at the current time. Most of Telecom Italia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telecom Italia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telecom Italia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telecom Italia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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