Tupperware Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.31
| TUP Stock | USD 0.99 0.01 1.02% |
Closest to current price Tupperware long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Tupperware |
Tupperware Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 41.31
The tendency of Tupperware Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 41.31 or more in 90 days |
| 0.99 | 90 days | 41.31 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tupperware Brands to move over $ 41.31 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Tupperware Brands probability density function shows the probability of Tupperware Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tupperware Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 0.99 and $ 41.31 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.83 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tupperware Brands will likely underperform. Additionally Tupperware Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Tupperware Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tupperware Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tupperware Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tupperware Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tupperware Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tupperware Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tupperware Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tupperware Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tupperware Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Tupperware Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tupperware Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tupperware Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tupperware Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tupperware Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tupperware Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tupperware Brands has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.31 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (28.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 834.1 M. | |
| Tupperware Brands has about 110.1 M in cash with (53.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.61, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Tupperware Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Milk Bottle Market Expected to Reach 5718.7 Million by 2032 Tupperware Brands, Maharashtra Industries, MeadWestvaco |
Tupperware Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tupperware Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tupperware Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tupperware Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.1 M |
Tupperware Brands Technical Analysis
Tupperware Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tupperware Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tupperware Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tupperware Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tupperware Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Tupperware Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tupperware Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tupperware Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tupperware Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tupperware Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tupperware Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tupperware Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tupperware Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tupperware Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tupperware Brands has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.31 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (28.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 834.1 M. | |
| Tupperware Brands has about 110.1 M in cash with (53.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.61, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Tupperware Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Milk Bottle Market Expected to Reach 5718.7 Million by 2032 Tupperware Brands, Maharashtra Industries, MeadWestvaco |
Check out Tupperware Brands Backtesting, Tupperware Brands Valuation, Tupperware Brands Correlation, Tupperware Brands Hype Analysis, Tupperware Brands Volatility, Tupperware Brands History as well as Tupperware Brands Performance. To learn how to invest in Tupperware Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tupperware Brands guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
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When running Tupperware Brands' price analysis, check to measure Tupperware Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tupperware Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Tupperware Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tupperware Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tupperware Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tupperware Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tupperware Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tupperware Brands. If investors know Tupperware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tupperware Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.14 | Earnings Share (8.07) | Revenue Per Share 25.166 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets 0.0366 |
The market value of Tupperware Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tupperware that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tupperware Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tupperware Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tupperware Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tupperware Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tupperware Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tupperware Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tupperware Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.