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Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 36.58

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TWTR -- USA Stock  

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Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 36.58

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 36.58  in 30 days
 36.91 30 days 36.58 
roughly 2.58
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to stay above $ 36.58  in 30 days from now is roughly 2.58 (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between $ 36.58  and its current price of $36.91 at the end of the 30-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Twitter has beta of 0.9711 . This entails Twitter market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twitter is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2978 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2978% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.30
β
Beta against DOW=0.97
σ
Overall volatility
=2.22
Ir
Information ratio =0.13

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by David Rosenblatt of 81000 shares of Twitter

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.59%
Short Percent Of Float3.71%
Float Shares748.36M
Shares Short Prior Month31.39M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day30.44M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15.45M
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020