UNIV HEALTH (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.23

UHS Stock  EUR 164.00  1.00  0.61%   
UNIV HEALTH's future price is the expected price of UNIV HEALTH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of UNIV HEALTH SERV B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out UNIV HEALTH Backtesting, UNIV HEALTH Valuation, UNIV HEALTH Correlation, UNIV HEALTH Hype Analysis, UNIV HEALTH Volatility, UNIV HEALTH History as well as UNIV HEALTH Performance.
  
Please specify UNIV HEALTH's target price for which you would like UNIV HEALTH odds to be computed.

UNIV HEALTH Target Price Odds to finish over 97.23

The tendency of UNIV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 97.23  in 90 days
 164.00 90 days 97.23 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UNIV HEALTH to stay above € 97.23  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This UNIV HEALTH SERV B probability density function shows the probability of UNIV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UNIV HEALTH SERV-B price to stay between € 97.23  and its current price of €164.0 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UNIV HEALTH SERV B has a beta of -0.4. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding UNIV HEALTH are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, UNIV HEALTH SERV B is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UNIV HEALTH SERV B has an alpha of 0.3454, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   UNIV HEALTH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UNIV HEALTH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UNIV HEALTH SERV-B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UNIV HEALTH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.2244.3445.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
163.71165.03166.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
162.17165.00167.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UNIV HEALTH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UNIV HEALTH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UNIV HEALTH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UNIV HEALTH SERV-B.

UNIV HEALTH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UNIV HEALTH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UNIV HEALTH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UNIV HEALTH SERV B, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UNIV HEALTH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
8.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

UNIV HEALTH Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UNIV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UNIV HEALTH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UNIV HEALTH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.6 M
Dividends Paid58.4 M
Short Long Term Debt81.4 M

UNIV HEALTH Technical Analysis

UNIV HEALTH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNIV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UNIV HEALTH SERV B. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNIV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

UNIV HEALTH Predictive Forecast Models

UNIV HEALTH's time-series forecasting models is one of many UNIV HEALTH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UNIV HEALTH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards UNIV HEALTH in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, UNIV HEALTH's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from UNIV HEALTH options trading.
Check out UNIV HEALTH Backtesting, UNIV HEALTH Valuation, UNIV HEALTH Correlation, UNIV HEALTH Hype Analysis, UNIV HEALTH Volatility, UNIV HEALTH History as well as UNIV HEALTH Performance.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for UNIV Stock analysis

When running UNIV HEALTH's price analysis, check to measure UNIV HEALTH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UNIV HEALTH is operating at the current time. Most of UNIV HEALTH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UNIV HEALTH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UNIV HEALTH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UNIV HEALTH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between UNIV HEALTH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UNIV HEALTH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UNIV HEALTH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.