United States 12 Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 10.23

UNL Etf  USD 7.64  0.15  1.93%   
United States' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on United States 12. Implied volatility approximates the future value of United States based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in United States 12 over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $7.0 is a CALL option contract on United States' common stock with a strick price of 7.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-18 at 09:36:21 for $1.3 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 93.54. View All United options

Closest to current price United long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

United States' future price is the expected price of United States instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United States 12 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United States Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, United States Correlation, United States Hype Analysis, United States Volatility, United States History as well as United States Performance.
  
Please specify United States' target price for which you would like United States odds to be computed.

United States Target Price Odds to finish below 10.23

The tendency of United Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 10.23  after 90 days
 7.64 90 days 10.23 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United States to stay under $ 10.23  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This United States 12 probability density function shows the probability of United Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United States 12 price to stay between its current price of $ 7.64  and $ 10.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon United States has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, United States average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United States 12 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United States 12 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   United States Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United States

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United States 12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.247.619.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.797.169.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.197.569.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.607.737.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United States. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United States' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United States' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in United States 12.

United States Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United States is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United States' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United States 12, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United States within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

United States Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United States for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United States 12 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United States 12 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ushers New Look Embarks on AI-Focused Collaboration With IBM To Set Students Up for Career Success
This fund generated-9.0 ten year return of -9.0%
United States keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

United States Technical Analysis

United States' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United States 12. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United States Predictive Forecast Models

United States' time-series forecasting models is one of many United States' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United States' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United States 12

Checking the ongoing alerts about United States for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United States 12 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United States 12 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ushers New Look Embarks on AI-Focused Collaboration With IBM To Set Students Up for Career Success
This fund generated-9.0 ten year return of -9.0%
United States keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments
When determining whether United States 12 is a strong investment it is important to analyze United States' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United States' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out United States Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, United States Correlation, United States Hype Analysis, United States Volatility, United States History as well as United States Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running United States' price analysis, check to measure United States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United States is operating at the current time. Most of United States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of United States 12 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.