Pt Unilever Indonesia Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.6805
| UNLRF Stock | USD 0.18 0.02 12.50% |
UNLRF |
PT Unilever Target Price Odds to finish below 2.6805
The tendency of UNLRF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.68 after 90 days |
| 0.18 | 90 days | 2.68 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Unilever to stay under $ 2.68 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PT Unilever Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of UNLRF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Unilever Indonesia price to stay between its current price of $ 0.18 and $ 2.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Unilever Indonesia has a beta of -0.0712. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Unilever are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Unilever Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Unilever Indonesia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PT Unilever Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Unilever
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Unilever Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PT Unilever's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PT Unilever Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Unilever is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Unilever's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Unilever Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Unilever within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
PT Unilever Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Unilever for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Unilever Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Unilever generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Unilever has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| PT Unilever has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Unilever until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Unilever's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Unilever Indonesia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UNLRF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Unilever's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
PT Unilever Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UNLRF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Unilever's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Unilever's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 B |
PT Unilever Technical Analysis
PT Unilever's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNLRF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Unilever Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNLRF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Unilever Predictive Forecast Models
PT Unilever's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Unilever's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Unilever's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Unilever Indonesia
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Unilever for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Unilever Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Unilever generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Unilever has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| PT Unilever has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PT Unilever until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PT Unilever's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PT Unilever Indonesia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UNLRF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PT Unilever's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out PT Unilever Backtesting, PT Unilever Valuation, PT Unilever Correlation, PT Unilever Hype Analysis, PT Unilever Volatility, PT Unilever History as well as PT Unilever Performance. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for UNLRF Pink Sheet analysis
When running PT Unilever's price analysis, check to measure PT Unilever's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Unilever is operating at the current time. Most of PT Unilever's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Unilever's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Unilever's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Unilever to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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