Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

Visa Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 122.58  1.95  1.57%

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 122.58 30 days 122.58  about 44.13% about 54.97%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 44.13%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of 0.1175 . This entails as returns on market go up, Visa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Visa Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Visa Inc has an alpha of 0.13707089624999996 implying that it can potentially generate 0.13707089624999996% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Odds to move above current price in 30 days
 Visa Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.12
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.17