Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 111.4

V -- USA Stock  

USD 147.85  0.42  0.28%

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish below 111.4

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 111.40  or more in 30 days
 147.85 30 days 111.40  ABOUT 31.61%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to drop to $ 111.40  or more in 30 days from now is about 31.61% (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between $ 111.40  and its current price of $147.85 at the end of the 30-day period is about 33.01%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of -0.2051 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Visa are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Visa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Visa has an alpha of 0.1941 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1941% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Visa Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.21
σ
Overall volatility
=42.69
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Visa Alerts

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On August 16, 2018 Visa paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 28273 shares by Saunders Joseph W of Visa subject to Rule 16b-3

Price Density Drivers

Visa Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out1.30%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.82
Short Percent Of Float1.64%
Float Shares1.76B
Shares Short Prior Month28.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.44M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.28M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.56%
Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance. Please also try Piotroski F Score module to get piotroski f score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
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