Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 111.4

V -- USA Stock  

USD 135.99  1.55  1.13%

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish below 111.4

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 111.40  or more in 30 days
 135.99 30 days 111.40  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to drop to $ 111.40  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between $ 111.40  and its current price of $135.99 at the end of the 30-day period is about 21.48%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of 0.6605 . This entails as returns on market go up, Visa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Visa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Visa has an alpha of 0.1368 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1368% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Visa Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.14
β
Beta against DOW=0.66
σ
Overall volatility
=3.37
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

Visa Alerts

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Price Density Drivers

Visa Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out1.31%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.88
Short Percent Of Float1.60%
Float Shares1.75B
Shares Short Prior Month25.98M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.78M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10M
Date Short InterestNovember 15, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.64%
Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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