|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to drop to $ 111.40 or more in 30 days|
| 147.85 ||30 days|| 111.40 || ABOUT 31.61%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to drop to $ 111.40 or more in 30 days from now is about 31.61% (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between $ 111.40 and its current price of $147.85 at the end of the 30-day period is about 33.01%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of -0.2051 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Visa are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Visa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Visa has an alpha of 0.1941 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1941% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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