Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 115.62

V -- USA Stock  

USD 139.42  0.48  0.34%

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish below 115.62

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 115.62  or more in 30 days
 139.42 30 days 115.62  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to drop to $ 115.62  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between $ 115.62  and its current price of $139.42 at the end of the 30-day period is about 97.0%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of -0.2617 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Visa are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Visa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Visa has an alpha of 0.1916 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1916% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Visa Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.26
σ
Overall volatility
=2.47
Ir
Information ratio =0.047211

Visa Alerts

Visa Alerts and Suggestions
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 13468 shares by William Sheedy of Visa subject to Rule 16b-3

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Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.