Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 115.62

V -- USA Stock  

USD 140.08  0.32  0.23%

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish over 115.62

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 115.62  in 30 days
 140.08 30 days 115.62  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to stay above $ 115.62  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between $ 115.62  and its current price of $140.08 at the end of the 30-day period is about 23.48%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.029 . This entails Visa market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Visa is expected to follow. Additionally Visa has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Visa Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.1
β
Beta against DOW=1.03
σ
Overall volatility
=5.96
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

Visa Alerts

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Visa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.postanalyst.com: Money Managers Are Loading Up On Visa Inc.

Price Density Drivers

Visa Health Indicators

Shares Percent Shares Out1.24%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.82
Short Percent Of Float1.57%
Float Shares1.76B
Shares Short Prior Month27.69M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.22M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.81M
Date Short InterestSeptember 28, 2018
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.60%
Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance. Please also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
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